CARPO Research Forum

Dialogue and Mediation in a Multipolar World

4th CARPO Research Forum

29. November 2023, 15:00 – 17:00 (CET) online

Today’s global affairs are becoming increasingly complex and overwhelming. The pace of tectonic geopolitical shifts, the intensity of continued unbearable conflicts, as well as the level of devastation through climate change are difficult to cope with and to sufficiently comprehend. While this global context is maximizing the need for patient and inclusive dialogue, time and space for such dialogue are becoming more and more limited. A new level of polarization is dominating the public discourse, leaving very little room for context, nuances and a multi-angle perspective on complex realities.

At this year’s 4th CARPO Research Forum, we want to shed light on what kind of impact this trend may have on dialogue initiatives, as well as on mediation efforts. Is it, indeed, more challenging to conduct dialogue and mediation in a multipolar world? To address this question, we have ensured the participation of truly distinguished speakers who are both scholars and practitioners of dialogue. With their help, we want to examine what the merits and limits of dialogue are, how dialogue initiatives can lead to actual mediation efforts, and how the need for neutrality and balance can be reconciled with moral convictions.

As it has been the case in the past, the CARPO Research Forum does not aim to answer all of these questions but to provide some guidance on how to address those questions with the help of experienced experts.  

Agenda

  • 15:00 – 15:10
    Introduction & Welcoming Remarks

  • 15:10 – 15:30
    Keynote Speech: "Dialogue and Mediation in a Multipolar World"

    Speaker
    Peter Jones, Executive Director of Ottawa Dialogue

    Moderator
    Jane Kinninmont, Director Policy & Impact at the European Leadership Network

  • 15:30 – 17:00
    Panel Discussion: Best-practices for dialogue and mediation

    Panelists:
    Jamila Ali Rajaa, Co-founder of Consult Yemen
    Ibrahim Fraihat, Associate Professor in International Conflict Studies at the Doha Institute for Graduate Studies
    Julia Pickhardt, Project Manager Yemen, CMI – Martti Ahtisaari Peace Foundation
    Oliver Wils, Head of Berghof’s MENA Department

Breakout Sessions

Breakout Session 1: A reconfiguration of power and China’s emerging role in the Middle East: game-changer or much ado about nothing?

China has become an increasingly significant player in the Middle East in the past decade. While it is still a relative newcomer to the region and is extremely cautious in its approach to local political and security challenges, the country has been forced to increase its engagement with the Middle East due to its growing economic presence there. As the long-standing dominance of the US over the region shows signs of decline, China’s role becomes of increasing importance. Yet, little is known about China’s position and objectives in the Middle East, or of the ways in which these factors could affect regional stability and political dynamics in the medium to long term. 
This panel intends to address the geopolitical reconfigurations and constellations of external actors, that influence the region’s development. Particular focus is on the rise of China and its growing role in the WANA region. It invites all people interested in a geopolitical perspective on regional developments.

Panel:
Angela Stanzel, Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP):
t.b.a.

Camille Lons, The International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) Bahrain:
Assessing China’s Geoeconomic and Strategic Weight in the MENA region, Beyond the Sound and the Fury

Jacopo Scita, School of Government and International Affairs, University of Durham:
A Not-so Manifest Destiny: Will China Become a Security Guarantor in the Persian Gulf?

Moderator:
Julia Gurol, Researcher, Albert-Ludwigs University of Freiburg & CARPO

Breakout Session 2: The climate hedge and the arduous path towards sustainable development

The growing importance of balancing economic and social growth while protecting the environment as a public good enjoys wider acceptance. Whilst far from becoming a top priority, sustainability has become a buzzword for policy makers in the region. At the same time, popular ‘environmental consciousness’ is growing and exposes the lack of environmental management by the governments in place. Many countries suffer from soil degradation, biodiversity loss, exposure to toxins, waste disposal, threats to food and water security, pollution, and biodiversity loss, to name only a few of the environmental challenges faced by the WANA region today. The severe effects of climate change, such as global warming, exacerbate the deteriorating ecological situation. As a transboundary threat, the climate hedge is often considered to be a regional challenge and a matter of collective security interest but means of regional cooperation and collaboration barely exist.   
Instead of discussing the manifold challenges of environmental degradation and elaborating on the obstacles and shortcomings of a sustainable development, this panel rather takes a political ecology perspective to uncover the underlying political power relations and its linkages to environmental sustainability. It thus focusses on discourses and practices around environmental policy making and governance as well as its contestation. 

Panel:
Tobias von Lossow, Clingendael Institute:
Water, Electricity and Health care: Basic Services and the State

Katharina Nicolai, Friedrich-Alexander University (FAU) Erlangen-Nürnberg:
Obstacles and Opportunities of Regional Climate Change Cooperation: A Moroccan Perspective

Amnah Ibraheem, University of Tennessee:
Four Multilevel Challenges to Regional Environmental Movements 

Moderator:
Tobias Zumbrägel, Researcher, CARPO

Breakout Session 3: Reconfiguration or Collapse of Societies? The Protest Waves since the so-called Arab Spring

The role of civil society in the WANA region has undergone drastic changes since the so-called Arab Spring movements in 2011 laid bare the degradation of many countries’ social contract. In more recent years, the call for change in state-society relations has been strongly voiced in many countries, including Iraq and Lebanon. The demands of the civilian population are multiple and highly dependent on the specific context. They include anti-corruption, redistribution of goods and wealth, provision of health care, electricity and other basic goods in addition to a rethinking of the political and economic system. The protest movements mostly break open the sectarian, tribal, age and gender barriers. At the same time, next to the civil societies, numerous local actors have gained power, trying to fill the void left by the state’s instability to provide basic services. These actors foster new regional dynamics and revive tensions.  
This panel intends to look at the national and intra-state level and address the differences and similarities visible in the WANA countries’ movements. With a focus on Iraq and Lebanon’s latest movements, where no new social contract is in sight, questions about where the protest is heading stay open. 

Panel:
Mark Furness, German Development Institut (GDI/DIE):
The protest movements and international support for new social contracts in WANA countries

Jinan Al-Habbal, London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE):
Lebanon: Beyond the Protests

Dlawer Ala’Aldeen, Middle East Research Institute (MERI):
t.b.a.

Moderator:
Mirjam Schmidt, Project Officer, CARPO

Speakers

Danyel Reiche

Danyel Reiche is Visiting Associate Professor at the Georgetown University Qatar. He is on leave from the American University of Beirut (AUB) in Lebanon where he is a tenured Associate Professor of Comparative Politics. His research focuses on sport policy and politics. He published Success and Failure of Countries at the Olympic Games in 2016. He further edited with Tamir Sorek a volume entitled Sport, Politics and Society in the Middle East, which was published in 2019. Danyel is co-founder of the Sports Scholars in Lebanon Network (LESSN) and chair​ of the Political Studies Association’s Sport and Politics Study Group.  

Kristian Coates Ulrichsen

Kristian Coates Ulrichsen is a Baker Institute fellow for the Middle East. Previously, he worked as senior Gulf analyst at the Gulf Center for Strategic Studies and as co-director of the Kuwait Program on Development, Governance and Globalization in the Gulf States at the London School of Economics (LSE). He has written extensively on political economy, security, and international relations of the Arab Gulf States. His most recent books include Qatar and the Gulf Crisis or The United Arab Emirates: Power, Politics, and Policymaking

Kamilla Swart

Kamilla Swart is Associate Professor in the Masters of Science in Sport and Entertainment at the Hamad Bin Khalifa University. Kamilla also serves as a Senior Research Associate, School of Tourism and Hospitality at the University of Johannesburg. Kamilla’s research interests include sport and event tourism, with a specific focus on mega-events and sport tourism policies, strategies, impacts, sustainability and legacy. She was instrumental in developing the 2010 FIFA World Cup Research Agenda and served as the City of Cape Town’s Research Coordinator for 2010. She is currently driving the 2022 FIFA World Cup Research Agenda, working closely with the Qatar Foundation 2022 FIFA World Cup Master Program and the Supreme Committee for Delivery and Legacy.